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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
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Pakistan tour of England · 2026 · Men
9 Sept 2026 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Duckettcaught · Ghazi Ghori · Mohammad Abbas0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ghazi Ghori · b Mohammad Abbas | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Emilio Gaylbw · Mohammad Abbas 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammad Abbas | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jordan Coxnot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 59* | 76 | 8 | 0 | 77.63 |
 Joe Rootnot out8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 62* | 69 | 8 | 0 | 89.86 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Abbas1 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 3.38 | 5 | 1 |
| Razaullah Mashwani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 7.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 2 |
| Mohammad Imran0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 5.54 | 0 | 1 |
| Saim Ayub0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Ben Duckett, 0.1) · 2-2 (Emilio Gay, 1.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| 2 | 9 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 22/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 23/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 26/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 30/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 31/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 40/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 51/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 58/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 64/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 71/2 |
| 16 | 8 | 79/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 84/2 |
| 18 | 10 | 94/2 |
| 19 | 7 | 101/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 106/2 |
| 21 | 8 | 114/2 |
| 22 | 7 | 121/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 123/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 128/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 130/2 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Babar Azam: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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