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Bulgaria in Cyprus T20I Series · 2025/26 · Men
3 Nov 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bulgaria started on 18%; Bulgaria batted first.
Bulgaria's chances ranged from 0% to 20% during the match (Cyprus: 81% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Mazumderrun out · M Gogev, J Dowling · J Dowling 4 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Gogev, J Dowling | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 116.00 |
| AUKDS Kalugalalbw · Danyal Raja 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Danyal Raja | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| AA Senncaught and bowled · Jakob Gul 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jakob Gul | 16 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| MPGT Ketiyagecaught · Isa Zaroo · Jakob Gul 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Isa Zaroo · b Jakob Gul | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| CPPM Saduncaught · M Gogev · Jakob Gul 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Gogev · b Jakob Gul | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
| S Austin |
| caught · P Mishra · b Zeerak Chughtai |
| 18 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Adam Sennnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 20 | 0 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
| Ashish Bamnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 15 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danyal Raja0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 9 | 0 |
| J Dowling0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Jakob Gul0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 3 | 1 |
| P Mishra0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Zeerak Chughtai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| M Gogev0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (AUKDS Kalugala, 0.5) · 2-44 (R Mazumder, 6.0) · 3-56 (MPGT Ketiyage, 7.4) · 4-63 (AA Senn, 9.5) · 5-75 (CPPM Sadun, 11.1) · 6-107 (S Austin, 16.0)
Recorded target: 120 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 13 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 44/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 56/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 65/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 75/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 79/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 85/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 94/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 100/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 107/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 119/6 |
| 18 | 1 | 120/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.