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Central American Cricket Championships · 2025 · Men
19 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Panama more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Panama started on 61%; Panama batted first.
Panama's chances ranged from 12% to 86% during the match (Mexico: 14% to 88%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shashikant Laxmanlbw · Ronitkumar Ahir 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Ronitkumar Ahir | 17 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 89.47 |
| Sanjay Waghbowled · Ronitkumar Ahir 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ronitkumar Ahir | 23 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109.52 |
| J Umanathbowled · A Natubhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Natubhai Ahir | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Luis Hermidabowled · Ronitkumar Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ronitkumar Ahir | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Praveen Santhanakrishnanlbw · A Natubhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b A Natubhai Ahir | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| A Tripathi |
| bowled · b Ronitkumar Ahir |
| 6 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Shantanu Kaverirun out · P Jayeshbhai Patel · FL Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Jayeshbhai Patel | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
|---|
| D Pandarun out · P Jayeshbhai Patel, Nazir Patel · P Jayeshbhai Patel 1 fours · 2 sixes | run out · P Jayeshbhai Patel, Nazir Patel | 32 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 188.24 |
|---|
| R Poojarycaught · Faizal Salehji · Anskumar Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faizal Salehji · b Anskumar Ahir | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| DV Devjani Mutrejarun out · P Jayeshbhai Patel · FL Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Jayeshbhai Patel | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Pratik Singh Baisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FL Patel0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Anskumar Ahir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
| P Jayeshbhai Patel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Ronitkumar Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| A Natubhai Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| LR Gaonkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-39 (Shashikant Laxman, 6.0) · 2-44 (J Umanath, 6.5) · 3-44 (Sanjay Wagh, 7.2) · 4-47 (Praveen Santhanakrishnan, 8.2) · 5-51 (Luis Hermida, 9.4) · 6-56 (A Tripathi, 11.1) · 7-92 (D Panda, 15.2) · 8-95 (Shantanu Kaveri, 16.2) · 9-105 (DV Devjani Mutreja, 18.3) · 10-109 (R Poojary, 19.4)
Recorded target: 116 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 20 | 36/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 44/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 46/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 49/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 51/5 |
| 11 | 5 | 56/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 59/6 |
| 13 | 9 | 68/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 71/6 |
| 15 | 13 | 84/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 94/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 97/8 |
| 18 | 4 | 101/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 107/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 109/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.