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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
United States of America Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Women
17 Oct 2024 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 45%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 0% to 51% during the match (Zimbabwe: 50% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwabowled · Tara Norris 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tara Norris | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Sharne Mayerslbw · Tara Norris 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tara Norris | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Tara Norris · Isani Vaghela 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tara Norris · b Isani Vaghela | 29 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 85.29 |
| B Bizacaught · Sindhu Sriharsha · Isani Vaghela 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sindhu Sriharsha · b Isani Vaghela | 38 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 74.51 |
| Ashley Ndirayabowled · AI Chudasama 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b AI Chudasama | 11 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 32.35 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| not out |
| 33* |
| 45 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 73.33 |
| R Pasipanodyanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 30 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 21 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tara Norris0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 3.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Geetika Kodali0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Isani Vaghela0 maidens · 12 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 6.00 | 12 | 0 |
| AI Chudasama2 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 31 | 1 | 3.10 | 2 | 0 |
| S Immadi1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.3 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
| L Shetty0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (Sharne Mayers, 0.2) · 2-32 (Modester Mupachikwa, 4.4) · 3-56 (Chipo Mugeri, 9.4) · 4-96 (Ashley Ndiraya, 19.4) · 5-113 (B Biza, 25.1)
Recorded target: 153 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 41/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 55/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 57/3 |
| 11 | 1 | 58/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 69/3 |
| 13 | 0 | 69/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 75/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 76/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 82/3 |
| 17 | 2 | 84/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 91/3 |
| 19 | 3 | 94/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 96/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 97/4 |
| 22 | 7 | 104/4 |
| 23 | 1 | 105/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 106/4 |
| 25 | 7 | 113/4 |
| 26 | 3 | 116/5 |
| 27 | 1 | 117/5 |
| 28 | 11 | 128/5 |
| 29 | 3 | 131/5 |
| 30 | 5 | 136/5 |
| 31 | 0 | 136/5 |
| 32 | 6 | 142/5 |
| 33 | 8 | 150/5 |
| 34 | 0 | 150/5 |
| 35 | 4 | 154/5 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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