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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
18 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 90%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 16%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saqlain Arshadlbw · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Junaid Siddique | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Imal Liyanagecaught · Alishan Sharafu · SS Kang 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alishan Sharafu · b SS Kang | 18 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 94.74 |
| Mohammed Rizlancaught · Waseem Muhammad · SS Kang 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b SS Kang | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
| Mohammad Ahnaffcaught · Rahul Chopra · SS Kang 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b SS Kang | 10 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Muhammad Tanveercaught and bowled · Junaid Siddique 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Junaid Siddique | 47 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 130.56 |
| Muhammad Asimcaught · Junaid Siddique · SS Kang 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Junaid Siddique · b SS Kang |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ikramullah Khancaught · T Suri · Zuhaib Zubair 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Suri · b Zuhaib Zubair | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| H Rathodnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 22 | 4 | 0 | 113.64 |
|---|
| Amir Farooqnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 1 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-4 (Saqlain Arshad, 0.5) · 2-30 (Mohammed Rizlan, 4.3) · 3-39 (Imal Liyanage, 6.3) · 4-69 (Mohammad Ahnaff, 11.2) · 5-69 (Muhammad Asim, 11.4) · 6-81 (Ikramullah Khan, 13.3) · 7-120 (Muhammad Tanveer, 17.5)
Recorded target: 163 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 37/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 40/3 |
| 8 | 11 | 51/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 57/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 68/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 71/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 78/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 87/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 94/6 |
| 16 | 15 | 109/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 114/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 124/7 |
| 19 | 9 | 133/7 |
| 20 | 6 | 139/7 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
