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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
18 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 90%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 16%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Surilbw · Amir Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Amir Farooq | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Waseem Muhammadlbw · Mohammed Nadeem 2 fours · 5 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Nadeem | 65 | 36 | 2 | 5 | 180.56 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · H Rathod · Amir Farooq2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · H Rathod · b Amir Farooq | 22 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 129.41 |
| Asif Khancaught · Mohammad Ahnaff · H Rathod 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Ahnaff · b H Rathod | 41 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 105.13 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Saqlain Arshad · H Rathod 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saqlain Arshad · b H Rathod |
| 7 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 53.85 |
| Ali Naseerbowled · H Rathod 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b H Rathod | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 162.50 |
|---|
| Zuhaib Zubairnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Farooq0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jabir0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 2 | 1 |
| Muhammad Tanveer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammed Nadeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Asim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| H Rathod0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (T Suri, 0.2) · 2-47 (Alishan Sharafu, 4.5) · 3-123 (Waseem Muhammad, 14.1) · 4-136 (Rahul Chopra, 17.2) · 5-143 (Asif Khan, 17.5) · 6-160 (Ali Naseer, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 14 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 47/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 59/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 67/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 81/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 99/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 104/2 |
| 13 | 14 | 118/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 123/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 124/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 129/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 135/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 144/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 154/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 162/6 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
