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Photo: TheSereneRebel
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Indian Premier League · 2024 · Men
5 May 2024 · T20
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala · Venue photographRecorded result
Chennai Super Kings started on 54%; Chennai Super Kings batted first.
Chennai Super Kings's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Punjab Kings: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 5 May 2024, Chennai Super Kings played Punjab Kings at Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala. Recorded result: Chennai Super Kings won by 28 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.