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West Indies tour of Australia · 2023/24 · Men
25 Jan 2024 · Test
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Steve Smithlbw · Kemar Roach1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kemar Roach | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Usman Khawajacaught · Alick Athanaze · Kevin Sinclair10 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alick Athanaze · b Kevin Sinclair | 75 | 131 | 10 | 0 | 57.25 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Kevin Sinclair · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevin Sinclair · b Alzarri Joseph | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| caught · Kraigg Brathwaite · b Kemar Roach |
| 8 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
 Travis Headcaught · Joshua Da Silva · Kemar Roach0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Kemar Roach | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Marshcaught · Kemar Roach · Alzarri Joseph3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kemar Roach · b Alzarri Joseph | 21 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 105.00 |
|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Tagenarine Chanderpaul · Shamar Joseph9 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tagenarine Chanderpaul · b Shamar Joseph | 65 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 132.65 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starccaught · Joshua Da Silva · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Alzarri Joseph | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminsnot out8 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 64* | 73 | 8 | 1 | 87.67 |
|---|
 Nathan Lyoncaught · Joshua Da Silva · Alzarri Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Alzarri Joseph | 19 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 9 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 2 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kemar Roach0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 4.27 | 1 | 0 |
| Alzarri Joseph0 maidens · 1 wides · 5 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 84 | 4 | 6.00 | 1 | 5 |
| Shamar Joseph1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 1 | 56 | 1 | 5.09 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Greaves3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 3.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Sinclair1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 53 | 1 | 6.63 | 0 | 1 |
1-6 (Steve Smith, 1.0) · 2-11 (Marnus Labuschagne, 1.5) · 3-24 (Cameron Green, 4.5) · 4-24 (Travis Head, 5.0) · 5-54 (Mitchell Marsh, 11.2) · 6-150 (Alex Carey, 27.3) · 7-161 (Mitchell Starc, 30.1) · 8-242 (Usman Khawaja, 47.4) · 9-289 (Nathan Lyon, 53.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 22/2 |
| 5 | 2 | 24/4 |
| 6 | 1 | 25/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 27/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 33/4 |
| 9 | 6 | 39/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 50/4 |
| 11 | 0 | 50/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 58/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 65/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 71/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 74/5 |
| 16 | 1 | 75/5 |
| 17 | 17 | 92/5 |
| 18 | 1 | 93/5 |
| 19 | 0 | 93/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 105/5 |
| 21 | 0 | 105/5 |
| 22 | 9 | 114/5 |
| 23 | 6 | 120/5 |
| 24 | 9 | 129/5 |
| 25 | 9 | 138/5 |
| 26 | 9 | 147/5 |
| 27 | 1 | 148/5 |
| 28 | 2 | 150/6 |
| 29 | 1 | 151/6 |
| 30 | 10 | 161/6 |
| 31 | 2 | 163/7 |
| 32 | 6 | 169/7 |
| 33 | 9 | 178/7 |
| 34 | 1 | 179/7 |
| 35 | 3 | 182/7 |
| 36 | 6 | 188/7 |
| 37 | 9 | 197/7 |
| 38 | 3 | 200/7 |
| 39 | 1 | 201/7 |
| 40 | 1 | 202/7 |
| 41 | 5 | 207/7 |
| 42 | 0 | 207/7 |
| 43 | 9 | 216/7 |
| 44 | 9 | 225/7 |
| 45 | 7 | 232/7 |
| 46 | 6 | 238/7 |
| 47 | 0 | 238/7 |
| 48 | 4 | 242/8 |
| 49 | 9 | 251/8 |
| 50 | 5 | 256/8 |
| 51 | 11 | 267/8 |
| 52 | 9 | 276/8 |
| 53 | 13 | 289/9 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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