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Central American Cricket Championships · 2026 · Men
2 Apr 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Mexico more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mexico started on 58%; Mexico batted first.
Mexico's chances ranged from 34% to 100% during the match (Costa Rica: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Byrappacaught · S Wankhade · S Pillai 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Wankhade · b S Pillai | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Seetharam Guruvayoorappancaught · S Pillai · Imran Ahmed Kaneez 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Pillai · b Imran Ahmed Kaneez | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| KB Patilcaught · TV Badri Narayanan · J Cutinho 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · TV Badri Narayanan · b J Cutinho | 32 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 160.00 |
| Shantanu Kavericaught · Imran Ahmed Kaneez · S Murari 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Imran Ahmed Kaneez · b S Murari | 26 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 123.81 |
| D Pandanot out 7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 56* | 34 | 7 | 1 | 164.71 |
| run out · Sharina Ravikumar |
| 73 |
| 38 |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 192.11 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Pillai0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Imran Ahmed Kaneez0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 4 | 0 |
| S Wankhade0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
| O Sam Arthur0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Murari0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 14.00 | 2 | 0 |
| J Cutinho0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sharina Ravikumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (J Byrappa, 0.5) · 2-3 (Seetharam Guruvayoorappan, 1.2) · 3-67 (Shantanu Kaveri, 7.5) · 4-69 (KB Patil, 8.3) · 5-204 (Amir Butt, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 16/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 22/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 28/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 16 | 56/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 68/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 10 | 12 | 86/4 |
| 11 | 18 | 104/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 111/4 |
| 13 | 13 | 124/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 131/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 140/4 |
| 16 | 18 | 158/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 167/4 |
| 18 | 13 | 180/4 |
| 19 | 16 | 196/4 |
| 20 | 8 | 204/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.