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Slovenia tour of Austria · 2025 · Men
17 May 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 79%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 55% to 100% during the match (Slovenia: 0% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhcaught and bowled · Awais Ikram 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Awais Ikram | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Zeeshan Gorayacaught · Rasheed Ali Mamadkhel · Saeed Waqar Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rasheed Ali Mamadkhel · b Saeed Waqar Ali | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Bilal Zalmailbw · P Pustoslemsek 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b P Pustoslemsek | 26 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 123.81 |
| Aqib Iqbalcaught · Waqar Khan · Izaz Ali 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waqar Khan · b Izaz Ali | 41 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 113.89 |
| Arsalan Arifcaught and bowled · S Koppolu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b S Koppolu | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| caught and bowled · b Izaz Ali |
| 7 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 43.75 |
| Mansoor Safibowled · Izaz Ali 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Izaz Ali | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Umair Tariqnot out 4 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 16 | 4 | 0 | 156.25 |
|---|
| Hamid Safibowled · Awais Ikram 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Awais Ikram | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 66.67 |
|---|
| J Ghelzaicaught · Saeed Waqar Ali · Waqar Khan 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Saeed Waqar Ali · b Waqar Khan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Ziaurahman Shinwaribowled · Waqar Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Waqar Khan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 14 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awais Ikram0 maidens · 3 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.1 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 8.88 | 3 | 2 |
| Saeed Waqar Ali0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 2 | 1 |
| S Koppolu0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 8 | 0 |
| P Pustoslemsek0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Izaz Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Taher Muhammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Waqar Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Zeeshan Goraya, 1.3) · 2-14 (Karanbir Singh, 2.2) · 3-56 (Bilal Zalmai, 8.1) · 4-62 (Arsalan Arif, 9.3) · 5-100 (KR Jha, 14.2) · 6-101 (Aqib Iqbal, 14.5) · 7-116 (Mansoor Safi, 16.3) · 8-142 (Hamid Safi, 19.0) · 9-155 (J Ghelzai, 20.0) · 10-155 (Ziaurahman Shinwari, 20.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 6 | 12 | 44/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 51/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 58/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 63/4 |
| 11 | 10 | 73/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 83/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 87/4 |
| 14 | 13 | 100/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 101/6 |
| 16 | 12 | 113/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 118/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 125/7 |
| 19 | 23 | 148/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 155/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.