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Photo: Harrias
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
31 May 2024 · T20
The County Ground, Taunton · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 35%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 66% during the match (Somerset: 34% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Rossingtonbowled · Lewis Gregory5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Lewis Gregory | 32 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 133.33 |
 Dean Elgarcaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Lewis Gregory8 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Lewis Gregory | 77 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 150.98 |
| Michael-Kyle Peppercaught · Ben Green · Roelof van der Merwe 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Green · b Roelof van der Merwe | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Jake Ball · Lewis Gregory 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jake Ball · b Lewis Gregory | 30 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 130.43 |
| bowled · b Jake Ball |
| 18 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 225.00 |
 Daniel Samsbowled · Ben Green0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Green | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Matthew Critchleynot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 7 | 0 | 1 | 171.43 |
|---|
 Simon Harmernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 2 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 10.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 0 | 2 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 0 | 2 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-67 (Adam Rossington, 7.3) · 2-74 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 8.3) · 3-132 (Jordan Cox, 14.2) · 4-159 (Paul Walter, 16.4) · 5-170 (Daniel Sams, 17.4) · 6-186 (Dean Elgar, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 50/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 56/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 64/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 70/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 79/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 87/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 101/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 110/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 113/2 |
| 14 | 15 | 128/2 |
| 15 | 18 | 146/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 151/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 161/4 |
| 18 | 16 | 177/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 183/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 193/6 |
Aaron Beard: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dean Elgar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
