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No Frills T20I Series · 2025 · Men
12 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Bermuda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bermuda started on 81%; Bermuda batted first.
Bermuda's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Cayman Islands: 0% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terryn Fraycaught · Kervin Ebanks · KA Bazil 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kervin Ebanks · b KA Bazil | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| MJ Scotlandlbw · ROC Dunka 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b ROC Dunka | 23 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 135.29 |
| Onais Bascomecaught · J Baker · T Taylor 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · J Baker · b T Taylor | 30 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 166.67 |
 Delray Rawlinscaught · R Walker · T Taylor0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · R Walker · b T Taylor | 37 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 112.12 |
| D Sabircaught · ROC Dunka · T Taylor 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · ROC Dunka · b T Taylor | 46 |
| 27 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 170.37 |
| Derrick Brangmannot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Zeko Burgessbowled · T Taylor 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b T Taylor | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 280.00 |
|---|
| Jonte Smithbowled · Conroy Wright 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Conroy Wright | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Sinclair Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KA Bazil0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Conroy Wright0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| ROC Dunka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| T Taylor0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 4 | 10.75 | 3 | 0 |
| A Wright0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kervin Ebanks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Terryn Fray, 0.4) · 2-52 (Onais Bascome, 5.5) · 3-60 (MJ Scotland, 6.5) · 4-138 (D Sabir, 15.3) · 5-144 (Delray Rawlins, 17.1) · 6-158 (Zeko Burgess, 18.0) · 7-164 (Jonte Smith, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 61/3 |
| 8 | 13 | 74/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 77/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 80/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 89/3 |
| 12 | 17 | 106/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 112/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 125/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 133/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 138/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 143/4 |
| 18 | 15 | 158/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 164/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 172/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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