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United Arab Emirates Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2025/26 · Women
28 Sept 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 55%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Zimbabwe: 28% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · Nyasha Gwanzura · A Zimunu 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nyasha Gwanzura · b A Zimunu | 23 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 135.29 |
| Lavanya Kenybowled · T Makusha 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b T Makusha | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21.43 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught · Modester Mupachikwa · A Zimunu 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Modester Mupachikwa · b A Zimunu | 34 | 70 | 2 | 0 | 48.57 |
| S Dharnidharkalbw · Loryn Phiri 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Loryn Phiri | 22 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Theertha Satishcaught · Kelis Ndhlovu · Loren Tshuma 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kelis Ndhlovu · b Loren Tshuma | 28 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 93.33 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Rinitha Rajithcaught · Chipo Mugeri · Loren Tshuma 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Chipo Mugeri · b Loren Tshuma |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| MD Bothacaught and bowled · Nyasha Gwanzura 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
| Udeni Donacaught and bowled · Loren Tshuma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Loren Tshuma | 13 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 52.00 |
|---|
| Vaishnave Maheshcaught · Loren Tshuma · Nyasha Gwanzura 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Loren Tshuma · b Nyasha Gwanzura | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 64.29 |
|---|
| Katie Thompsoncaught and bowled · T Makusha 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b T Makusha | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| ATS Silvanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 20 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomvelo Sibanda1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 5.17 | 1 | 0 |
| A Zimunu0 maidens · 12 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 4.29 | 12 | 0 |
| T Makusha2 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.5 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 1.76 | 3 | 0 |
| Audrey Mazvishaya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 36 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nyasha Gwanzura0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 4 | 0 |
1-28 (Lavanya Keny, 4.4) · 2-32 (Esha Oza, 5.5) · 3-84 (S Dharnidharka, 24.1) · 4-113 (Heena Hotchandani, 29.0) · 5-114 (Rinitha Rajith, 29.3) · 6-134 (MD Botha, 33.0) · 7-140 (Theertha Satish, 33.5) · 8-158 (Vaishnave Mahesh, 38.5) · 9-158 (Udeni Dona, 40.0) · 10-160 (Katie Thompson, 40.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 27/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 28/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 37/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 38/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 40/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 46/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 53/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 54/2 |
| 16 | 0 | 54/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 60/2 |
| 18 | 2 | 62/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 64/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 70/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 73/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 76/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 82/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 84/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 85/3 |
| 26 | 6 | 91/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 97/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 103/3 |
| 29 | 10 | 113/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 116/5 |
| 31 | 5 | 121/5 |
| 32 | 6 | 127/5 |
| 33 | 7 | 134/6 |
| 34 | 6 | 140/7 |
| 35 | 2 | 142/7 |
| 36 | 3 | 145/7 |
| 37 | 5 | 150/7 |
| 38 | 4 | 154/7 |
| 39 | 4 | 158/8 |
| 40 | 0 | 158/9 |
| 41 | 2 | 160/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.