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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
18 Sept 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 32%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 33% during the match (United States of America: 67% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryansh Sharmacaught · Milind Kumar · Nosthush Kenjige 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Nosthush Kenjige | 31 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 81.58 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Smit Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
 Alishan Sharafucaught · Smit Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Vishnu Sukumarancaught · Andries Gous · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andries Gous · b Nosthush Kenjige | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Rahul Chopra |
| caught · Andries Gous · b Milind Kumar |
| 32 |
| 64 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Aayan Afzal Khanbowled · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Basil Hameedcaught · Smit Patel · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Jasdeep Singh | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ali Naseercaught · Smit Patel · Milind Kumar 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Milind Kumar | 23 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 82.14 |
|---|
| Rahul Bhatialbw · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jasdeep Singh | 8 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 29.63 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquebowled · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Jawadullahnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| J Drysdale1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 3.60 | 5 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.2 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 3.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Waseem Muhammad, 2.3) · 2-3 (Alishan Sharafu, 2.5) · 3-27 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 7.4) · 4-40 (Aryansh Sharma, 12.0) · 5-43 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 12.4) · 6-43 (Basil Hameed, 12.5) · 7-83 (Ali Naseer, 21.5) · 8-106 (Rahul Bhatia, 30.2) · 9-106 (Junaid Siddique, 30.5) · 10-106 (Rahul Chopra, 31.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 3/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 9/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 9/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 20/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 26/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 29/3 |
| 9 | 1 | 30/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 31/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 31/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 40/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 43/6 |
| 14 | 0 | 43/6 |
| 15 | 6 | 49/6 |
| 16 | 7 | 56/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 62/6 |
| 18 | 2 | 64/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 69/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 75/6 |
| 21 | 4 | 79/6 |
| 22 | 4 | 83/7 |
| 23 | 1 | 84/7 |
| 24 | 5 | 89/7 |
| 25 | 3 | 92/7 |
| 26 | 3 | 95/7 |
| 27 | 4 | 99/7 |
| 28 | 3 | 102/7 |
| 29 | 2 | 104/7 |
| 30 | 1 | 105/7 |
| 31 | 1 | 106/9 |
| 32 | 0 | 106/10 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
