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Asia Pacific Cricket Champions Trophy · 2026 · Men
23 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Singapore more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Singapore started on 74%; Singapore batted first.
Singapore's chances ranged from 61% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 39%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suryansh Gulechacaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Chanchai Pengkumta 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Chanchai Pengkumta | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Bhatiacaught · Kamron Senamontree · Nopphon Senamontree 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Kamron Senamontree · b Nopphon Senamontree | 42 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 150.00 |
| Girin Gunecaught · Phiriyapong Suanchuai · Austin Lazarus 3 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Phiriyapong Suanchuai · b Austin Lazarus | 54 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 168.75 |
| Manpreet Singhcaught · Nopphon Senamontree · Phanuphong Thongsa 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nopphon Senamontree · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 161.54 |
| Riaan Naikcaught · Y Saranonnakkun · Pattarapol Jirapatananukul 0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Y Saranonnakkun · b Pattarapol Jirapatananukul |
| 29 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 181.25 |
| VT Thiyaneshcaught · Kamron Senamontree · Phanuphong Thongsa 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamron Senamontree · b Phanuphong Thongsa | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Raheel Thakkarcaught and bowled · Pattarapol Jirapatananukul 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Pattarapol Jirapatananukul | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
| MA Sherrynot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 10 | 1 | 0 | 110.00 |
|---|
| Jeevan Santhanamnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Kamron Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Austin Lazarus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Pattarapol Jirapatananukul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Phanuphong Thongsa0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-0 (Suryansh Gulecha, 0.1) · 2-105 (Girin Gune, 9.5) · 3-105 (M Bhatia, 10.2) · 4-148 (Manpreet Singh, 14.2) · 5-158 (Riaan Naik, 15.3) · 6-169 (VT Thiyanesh, 17.0) · 7-184 (Raheel Thakkar, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 15 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 23 | 68/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 77/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 90/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 101/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 105/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 110/3 |
| 12 | 11 | 121/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 130/3 |
| 14 | 14 | 144/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 151/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 163/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 169/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 173/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 183/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 187/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.