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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
27 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 59%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max O'Dowdlbw · AR Bisht 8 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b AR Bisht | 63 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 136.96 |
| C de Lange (2)caught · Mujibur Ali · Shah Faisal 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mujibur Ali · b Shah Faisal | 102 | 91 | 8 | 1 | 112.09 |
| Noah Croescaught · Zikria Islam · AR Bisht 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zikria Islam · b AR Bisht | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 31.25 |
 Bas de Leedenot out14 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 145* | 110 | 14 | 5 | 131.82 |
 Zach Lion-Cachetstumped · LN Saishiv · Samay Shrivastava0 fours · 0 sixes |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 59% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 41%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| stumped · LN Saishiv · b Samay Shrivastava |
| 5 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
 Colin Ackermannbowled · Mujibur Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mujibur Ali | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
| Michael Levittnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 29* | 19 | 3 | 1 | 152.63 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shah Faisal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 79 | 1 | 8.78 | 2 | 0 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 9.38 | 2 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 74 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 4.60 | 5 | 0 |
| AR Bisht0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 4.57 | 2 | 0 |
| Zikria Islam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mujibur Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| LN Saishiv0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-102 (Max O'Dowd, 11.4) · 2-110 (Noah Croes, 15.1) · 3-264 (C de Lange (2), 38.1) · 4-285 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 41.3) · 5-294 (Colin Ackermann, 44.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 37/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 47/0 |
| 7 | 13 | 60/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 72/0 |
| 9 | 11 | 83/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 91/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 99/0 |
| 12 | 4 | 103/1 |
| 13 | 2 | 105/1 |
| 14 | 4 | 109/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 110/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 113/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 116/2 |
| 18 | 4 | 120/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 121/2 |
| 20 | 9 | 130/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 133/2 |
| 22 | 7 | 140/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 144/2 |
| 24 | 11 | 155/2 |
| 25 | 9 | 164/2 |
| 26 | 12 | 176/2 |
| 27 | 4 | 180/2 |
| 28 | 3 | 183/2 |
| 29 | 9 | 192/2 |
| 30 | 9 | 201/2 |
| 31 | 6 | 207/2 |
| 32 | 5 | 212/2 |
| 33 | 8 | 220/2 |
| 34 | 8 | 228/2 |
| 35 | 6 | 234/2 |
| 36 | 14 | 248/2 |
| 37 | 10 | 258/2 |
| 38 | 6 | 264/2 |
| 39 | 5 | 269/3 |
| 40 | 4 | 273/3 |
| 41 | 9 | 282/3 |
| 42 | 5 | 287/4 |
| 43 | 3 | 290/4 |
| 44 | 4 | 294/4 |
| 45 | 3 | 297/5 |
| 46 | 12 | 309/5 |
| 47 | 16 | 325/5 |
| 48 | 13 | 338/5 |
| 49 | 12 | 350/5 |
| 50 | 21 | 371/5 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
