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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
15 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 79%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 59% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 41%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Suricaught and bowled · Sufyan Mehmood 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sufyan Mehmood | 40 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 105.26 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Mohammad Nadeem · Samay Shrivastava 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Mohammad Nadeem · b Samay Shrivastava | 48 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 154.84 |
1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Samay Shrivastava | 22 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 122.22 |
| Asif Khanbowled · Samay Shrivastava 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samay Shrivastava | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Rahul Choprarun out · Hammad Mirza, Vinayak Shukla · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · Hammad Mirza, Vinayak Shukla |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Ali Naseercaught · Mohammad Nadeem · Sufyan Mehmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Nadeem · b Sufyan Mehmood | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| D Parasharnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 17* | 13 | 0 | 1 | 130.77 |
|---|
| Zuhaib Zubairlbw · Mehran Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mehran Khan | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquenot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 214.29 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Nadeem0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Shakeel Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Mehran Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 4 | 0 |
1-79 (T Suri, 10.2) · 2-111 (Waseem Muhammad, 13.4) · 3-114 (Asif Khan, 14.0) · 4-116 (Rahul Chopra, 14.3) · 5-118 (Alishan Sharafu, 15.3) · 6-130 (Ali Naseer, 17.4) · 7-133 (Zuhaib Zubair, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 41/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 52/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 57/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 66/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 72/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 78/0 |
| 11 | 3 | 81/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 87/1 |
| 13 | 15 | 102/1 |
| 14 | 12 | 114/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 117/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 122/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 127/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 133/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 137/7 |
| 20 | 20 | 157/7 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.