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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
10 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 44%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 4% to 99% during the match (Derbyshire: 1% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Wayne Madsen · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wayne Madsen · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Isaac Mohammedcaught · Patrick Brown · Alex Thomson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Patrick Brown · b Alex Thomson | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
 Gareth Roderickbowled · Zak Chappell4 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Zak Chappell | 71 | 57 | 4 | 2 | 124.56 |
 Kashif Alicaught · Patrick Brown · Zak Chappell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Patrick Brown · b Zak Chappell | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| bowled · b Zak Chappell |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ethan Brookesbowled · Samit Patel 5 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Samit Patel | 43 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 165.38 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuisnot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 33* | 18 | 4 | 1 | 183.33 |
|---|
| Tom Taylornot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 5 | 3 | 0 | 280.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Thomson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Zak Chappell1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 13.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Isaac Mohammed, 1.0) · 2-9 (Brett D'Oliveira, 1.3) · 3-10 (Kashif Ali, 2.2) · 4-10 (Adam Hose, 2.3) · 5-95 (Ethan Brookes, 12.5) · 6-139 (Gareth Roderick, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/2 |
| 3 | 0 | 10/4 |
| 4 | 11 | 21/4 |
| 5 | 3 | 24/4 |
| 6 | 11 | 35/4 |
| 7 | 10 | 45/4 |
| 8 | 11 | 56/4 |
| 9 | 12 | 68/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 74/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 82/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 90/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 95/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 98/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 105/5 |
| 16 | 17 | 122/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 129/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 139/6 |
| 19 | 21 | 160/6 |
| 20 | 14 | 174/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
