Trinbago Knight RidersversusAntigua and Barbuda Falcons

22 Aug 2026 · T20

Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Antigua and Barbuda Falcons won by 5 wickets

Trinbago Knight Riders20.0 overs165/6 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons18.3 overs168/5 Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Trinbago Knight Riders started on 50%; Trinbago Knight Riders batted first.

Trinbago Knight Riders’s chance of winning (%) · Antigua and Barbuda Falcons is the rest

Trinbago Knight Riders's chances ranged from 0% to 88% during the match (Antigua and Barbuda Falcons: 12% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 17.1: N Edward to Shadab Khan, six by Shadab Khan. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 25% to 39%.
2nd inns 17.2: N Edward to Shadab Khan, six by Shadab Khan. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 39% to 63%.
2nd inns 17.3: N Edward to Shadab Khan, six by Shadab Khan. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons up from 63% to 81%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Trinbago Knight Riders165/6 Antigua and Barbuda Falcons168/5

Innings 1