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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
16 Jul 2025 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 44%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 6% to 45% during the match (Lancashire: 55% to 94%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Winfieldcaught · Eleanor Threlkeld · Mahika Gaur0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eleanor Threlkeld · b Mahika Gaur | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Grace Scrivenscaught · Eleanor Threlkeld · Mahika Gaur 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eleanor Threlkeld · b Mahika Gaur | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Cordelia Griffithcaught · Eleanor Threlkeld · Tara Norris 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eleanor Threlkeld · b Tara Norris | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Jodi Grewcockcaught · Eleanor Threlkeld · Mahika Gaur 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Eleanor Threlkeld · b Mahika Gaur | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 116.67 |
 |
| caught · Tara Norris · b Alana King |
| 22 |
| 27 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 81.48 |
| Alice Macleodcaught · Darcey Carter · Tara Norris 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Darcey Carter · b Tara Norris | 23 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 121.05 |
|---|
| Jo Gardnercaught · Tara Norris · Alana King 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tara Norris · b Alana King | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Eva Graystumped · Eleanor Threlkeld · Darcey Carter 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Eleanor Threlkeld · b Darcey Carter | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Sophia Smalenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Kate Coppackrun out · Darcey Carter · Alana King 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Darcey Carter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Abtaha Maqsoodrun out · Eleanor Threlkeld · Sophie Morris 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Eleanor Threlkeld | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahika Gaur1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Tara Norris0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Alana King0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophie Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Darcey Carter0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 1 |
1-0 (Lauren Winfield, 0.1) · 2-1 (Grace Scrivens, 0.5) · 3-12 (Jodi Grewcock, 2.2) · 4-43 (Cordelia Griffith, 6.2) · 5-68 (Madeline Penna, 10.5) · 6-72 (Alice Macleod, 11.5) · 7-80 (Eva Gray, 14.0) · 8-80 (Jo Gardner, 14.1) · 9-96 (Kate Coppack, 16.3) · 10-107 (Abtaha Maqsood, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 13/3 |
| 4 | 7 | 20/3 |
| 5 | 11 | 31/3 |
| 6 | 12 | 43/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 49/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 52/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 56/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 65/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 68/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 73/6 |
| 13 | 4 | 77/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 80/7 |
| 15 | 4 | 84/8 |
| 16 | 10 | 94/8 |
| 17 | 3 | 97/9 |
| 18 | 10 | 107/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 107/10 |
Eleanor Threlkeld: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mahika Gaur: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fi Morris: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Evelyn Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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