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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
10 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 52%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Levittbowled · Mark Watt 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mark Watt | 28 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 77.78 |
| Max O'Dowdbowled · Brandon McMullen 7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brandon McMullen | 64 | 73 | 7 | 0 | 87.67 |
 Zach Lion-Cachetcaught · George Munsey · Jasper John Davidson7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · George Munsey · b Jasper John Davidson | 78 | 99 | 7 | 1 | 78.79 |
| Scott Edwardscaught · Michael Leask · Brad Currie 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Leask · b Brad Currie | 70 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 107.69 |
| Teja Nidamanurucaught · Brandon McMullen · Brad Currie 1 fours · 1 sixes |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Scotland: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 19 |
| 14 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 135.71 |
 Bas de Leedenot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 10 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Noah Croesbowled · Brad Currie 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Brad Currie | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aryan Duttcaught · Mark Watt · Brad Currie 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mark Watt · b Brad Currie | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 52 | 4 | 5.20 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon McMullen1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 57 | 1 | 5.70 | 1 | 0 |
 Mark Watt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 4.80 | 2 | 0 |
| Jack Jarvis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 5.14 | 1 | 0 |
| Jasper John Davidson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 70 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Leask0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 3.60 | 3 | 0 |
1-75 (Michael Levitt, 12.2) · 2-137 (Max O'Dowd, 28.0) · 3-208 (Zach Lion-Cachet, 41.2) · 4-243 (Teja Nidamanuru, 45.2) · 5-280 (Scott Edwards, 49.2) · 6-280 (Noah Croes, 49.3) · 7-282 (Aryan Dutt, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 17/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 26/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 34/0 |
| 7 | 13 | 47/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 53/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 57/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/0 |
| 11 | 8 | 71/0 |
| 12 | 3 | 74/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 77/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 84/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 90/1 |
| 16 | 1 | 91/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 93/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 95/1 |
| 19 | 1 | 96/1 |
| 20 | 4 | 100/1 |
| 21 | 3 | 103/1 |
| 22 | 13 | 116/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 118/1 |
| 24 | 3 | 121/1 |
| 25 | 6 | 127/1 |
| 26 | 3 | 130/1 |
| 27 | 4 | 134/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 137/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 138/2 |
| 30 | 8 | 146/2 |
| 31 | 4 | 150/2 |
| 32 | 3 | 153/2 |
| 33 | 5 | 158/2 |
| 34 | 4 | 162/2 |
| 35 | 3 | 165/2 |
| 36 | 9 | 174/2 |
| 37 | 5 | 179/2 |
| 38 | 6 | 185/2 |
| 39 | 4 | 189/2 |
| 40 | 9 | 198/2 |
| 41 | 7 | 205/2 |
| 42 | 10 | 215/3 |
| 43 | 6 | 221/3 |
| 44 | 13 | 234/3 |
| 45 | 8 | 242/3 |
| 46 | 3 | 245/4 |
| 47 | 9 | 254/4 |
| 48 | 16 | 270/4 |
| 49 | 10 | 280/4 |
| 50 | 2 | 282/7 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
