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No Frills T20I Series · 2025 · Men
13 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Canada more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 85%; Canada batted first.
Canada's chances ranged from 85% to 100% during the match (Cayman Islands: 0% to 15%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YS Samrabowled · J Baker 6 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b J Baker | 61 | 38 | 6 | 4 | 160.53 |
| Pargat Singhcaught · A Wright · Kervin Ebanks 6 fours · 6 sixes | caught · A Wright · b Kervin Ebanks | 89 | 44 | 6 | 6 | 202.27 |
| Mihir Patelcaught · BKB Corbin · J Baker 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BKB Corbin · b J Baker | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Nicholas Kirtoncaught · A Wright · J Baker 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · A Wright · b J Baker | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
| Harsh Thakernot out 3 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 53* | 18 | 3 | 5 | 294.44 |
| Jaskaran Singhcaught · R Walker · Kervin Ebanks0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · R Walker · b Kervin Ebanks |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Kanwarpal Tathgurrun out · BKB Corbin, Conroy Wright · Kervin Ebanks 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · BKB Corbin, Conroy Wright | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Dillon Heyligernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROC Dunka0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 3 | 0 |
| A Wright0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Conroy Wright0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Alessandro Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kervin Ebanks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| J Baker0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 11.00 | 6 | 0 |
| AR Naidoo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 17.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Foster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-109 (YS Samra, 10.2) · 2-111 (Mihir Patel, 10.4) · 3-133 (Nicholas Kirton, 12.4) · 4-219 (Pargat Singh, 17.1) · 5-221 (Jaskaran Singh, 17.4) · 6-231 (Kanwarpal Tathgur, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 40/0 |
| 6 | 18 | 58/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 68/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 77/0 |
| 9 | 13 | 90/0 |
| 10 | 10 | 100/0 |
| 11 | 12 | 112/2 |
| 12 | 15 | 127/2 |
| 13 | 17 | 144/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 152/3 |
| 15 | 22 | 174/3 |
| 16 | 27 | 201/3 |
| 17 | 18 | 219/3 |
| 18 | 7 | 226/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 230/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 236/6 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
