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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Asia Qualifier A · 2026/27 · Men
8 Oct 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Kuwait more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 17%; Thailand batted first.
Thailand's chances ranged from 0% to 24% during the match (Kuwait: 76% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akshaykumar Yadavcaught · Anudeep Chenthamara · Adnan Idrees 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anudeep Chenthamara · b Adnan Idrees | 26 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 83.87 |
| Chaloemwong Chatphaisancaught · Ali Zaheer · Anudeep Chenthamara 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Zaheer · b Anudeep Chenthamara | 7 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 46.67 |
| Phiriyapong Suanchuaicaught · Mohamed Shafeeq · Adnan Idrees 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohamed Shafeeq · b Adnan Idrees | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17.65 |
| Austin Lazaruscaught · Ali Zaheer · Mohomad Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Zaheer · b Mohomad Aslam | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Phanuphong Thongsabowled · Meet Bhavsar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Meet Bhavsar | 5 | 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 35.71 |
| Pattarapol Jirapatananukulbowled · Meet Bhavsar 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Meet Bhavsar | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Chanchai Pengkumtabowled · Mohomad Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohomad Aslam | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mukesh Thakurcaught · Mohamed Shafeeq · Mohomad Aslam 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohamed Shafeeq · b Mohomad Aslam | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aruesanan Wichakamcaught · Mohomad Aslam · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohomad Aslam · b Yasin Patel | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nopphon Senamontreelbw · Yasin Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Yasin Patel | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sarawut Maliwannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Yasin Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Anudeep Chenthamara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Meet Bhavsar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 2.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Adnan Idrees1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohomad Aslam0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-29 (Chaloemwong Chatphaisan, 5.3) · 2-37 (Phiriyapong Suanchuai, 9.3) · 3-42 (Akshaykumar Yadav, 11.3) · 4-50 (Austin Lazarus, 15.0) · 5-52 (Phanuphong Thongsa, 15.4) · 6-53 (Chanchai Pengkumta, 16.5) · 7-53 (Mukesh Thakur, 17.0) · 8-54 (Aruesanan Wichakam, 17.3) · 9-54 (Nopphon Senamontree, 17.5) · 10-60 (Pattarapol Jirapatananukul, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 22/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 28/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 31/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 33/1 |
| 9 | 3 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 38/2 |
| 11 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 42/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 44/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 48/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 50/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 52/5 |
| 17 | 1 | 53/7 |
| 18 | 1 | 54/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 60/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.