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Asian Cricket Council Men's Challenger Cup · 2023/24 · Men
3 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 63%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 2% to 64% during the match (Cambodia: 36% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanacaught · Luqman Butt · GC Murtaza 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luqman Butt · b GC Murtaza | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
| Anjar Tadarusbowled · S Godara 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Godara | 8 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
| F Banunaeklbw · GC Murtaza 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b GC Murtaza | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| PR Survecaught · Lakshit Gupta · GC Murtaza 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lakshit Gupta · b GC Murtaza | 31 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 103.33 |
| Kadek Gamantikacaught · Luqman Butt · Utkarsh Jain 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luqman Butt · b Utkarsh Jain | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| lbw · b Luqman Butt |
| 54 |
| 41 |
| 4 |
| 3 |
| 131.71 |
| Ahmad Ramdoninot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 14* | 11 | 1 | 1 | 127.27 |
|---|
| Danilson Hawoenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Godara0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
| GC Murtaza0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 2 | 1 |
| Luqman Butt0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Utkarsh Jain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| RR Sharan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Gede Priandana, 1.4) · 2-15 (F Banunaek, 3.4) · 3-27 (Anjar Tadarus, 6.2) · 4-33 (Kadek Gamantika, 7.5) · 5-78 (PR Surve, 15.2) · 6-126 (KC Ramamoorthy, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 8/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 28/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 33/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 36/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 41/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 43/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 53/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 57/4 |
| 14 | 13 | 70/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 76/4 |
| 16 | 14 | 90/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 103/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 114/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 118/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 127/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.