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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B · 2025/26 · Men
11 Mar 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Cayman Islands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Suriname started on 18%; Suriname batted first.
Suriname's chances ranged from 0% to 21% during the match (Cayman Islands: 79% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Bharrattlbw · V Dhaniram 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b V Dhaniram | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| V Hirlalcaught · S Foster · A Wright 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Foster · b A Wright | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Vishwar Shawcaught · Ramon Sealy · A Wright 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ramon Sealy · b A Wright | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| K Jaikaranstumped · J Baker · V Dhaniram 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · J Baker · b V Dhaniram | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| Gavin Singhlbw · Alistair Ifill 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Alistair Ifill | 18 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 81.82 |
| J Perry |
| stumped · J Baker · b Alistair Ifill |
| 18 |
| 37 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 48.65 |
| XSD Smithnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 25* | 25 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Troy Dudnathcaught · S Foster · ROC Dunka 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Foster · b ROC Dunka | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| YP Dayalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROC Dunka0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| A Wright0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| V Dhaniram0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Alistair Ifill1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Romario Edwards0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Conroy Wright0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (V Hirlal, 1.2) · 2-8 (Vishwar Shaw, 2.0) · 3-11 (S Bharratt, 2.5) · 4-14 (K Jaikaran, 4.4) · 5-46 (Gavin Singh, 10.5) · 6-65 (J Perry, 16.4) · 7-81 (Troy Dudnath, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 3 | 11/3 |
| 4 | 3 | 14/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 15/4 |
| 6 | 11 | 26/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 28/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 33/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 38/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 43/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 47/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 49/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 51/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 54/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 58/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 64/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 68/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 73/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 82/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 92/7 |
Ramon Sealy: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
