Lahore QalandarsversusQuetta Gladiators

13 Apr 2025 · T20

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lahore Qalandars won by 79 runs

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs219/6 Quetta Gladiators16.2 overs140/10 Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 43%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Quetta Gladiators is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Quetta Gladiators: 0% to 65%).

Biggest swings

2.3: Abrar Ahmed to Muhammad Naeem, Muhammad Naeem out. Quetta Gladiators up from 51% to 63%.
7.5: AJ Hosein to Abdullah Shafique, Abdullah Shafique out. Quetta Gladiators up from 40% to 47%.
2nd inns 0.5: Shaheen Shah Afridi to Saud Shakeel, Saud Shakeel out. Lahore Qalandars up from 78% to 85%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars219/6 Quetta Gladiators140/10

Innings 1