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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Women's Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Women
29 Nov 2025 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 44%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 0% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Meg Lanningnot out7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 73* | 58 | 7 | 1 | 125.86 |
 Rhys McKennacaught · Courtney Webb · Milly Illingworth1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Courtney Webb · b Milly Illingworth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
 Amy Jonesstumped · Nicole Faltum · Georgia Wareham7 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Nicole Faltum · b Georgia Wareham | 43 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 130.30 |
 Annabel Sutherlandlbw · Georgia Wareham1 fours · 2 sixes |
| lbw · b Georgia Wareham |
| 27 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 168.75 |
 Marizanne Kappcaught · Tess Flintoff · Milly Illingworth1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tess Flintoff · b Milly Illingworth | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Danielle Gibsoncaught · Sarah Coyte · Milly Illingworth0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sarah Coyte · b Milly Illingworth | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Kim Garthnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charis Bekker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Milly Illingworth0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Issy Wong0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 1 |
 Georgia Wareham0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Deandra Dottin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Alice Capsey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Sarah Coyte0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Rhys McKenna, 1.3) · 2-76 (Amy Jones, 10.0) · 3-146 (Annabel Sutherland, 17.1) · 4-153 (Marizanne Kapp, 18.2) · 5-156 (Danielle Gibson, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 22/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 55/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 67/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 76/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 83/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 93/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 98/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 104/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 114/2 |
| 16 | 11 | 125/2 |
| 17 | 21 | 146/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 152/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 156/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 160/5 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charis Bekker: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sarah Coyte: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marizanne Kapp: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Day: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tess Flintoff: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maisy Gibson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sasha Moloney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rhys McKenna: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Courtney Webb: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicole Faltum: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alice Capsey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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