Rajasthan RoyalsversusKolkata Knight Riders

19 Apr 2026 · T20

Eden Gardens, Kolkata · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 4 wickets

Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs155/9 Kolkata Knight Riders19.4 overs161/6 Eden Gardens, Kolkata ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajasthan Royals started on 51%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.

Rajasthan Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 2% to 90% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 10% to 98%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 10.1: RA Jadeja to R Powell, R Powell out. Rajasthan Royals up from 43% to 73%.
2nd inns 15.6: Ravi Bishnoi to AS Roy, six by AS Roy. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 30% to 53%.
2nd inns 18.3: JC Archer to AS Roy, six by AS Roy. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 60% to 83%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Rajasthan Royals155/9 Kolkata Knight Riders161/6

Innings 1