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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Malta more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Slovenia started on 26%; Slovenia batted first.
Slovenia's chances ranged from 0% to 27% during the match (Malta: 74% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarun Sharma (2)caught · Jaspal Singh · Muhammad Ajmal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jaspal Singh · b Muhammad Ajmal | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Taher Muhammadstumped · Flynn Zahra · Muhammad Ajmal 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Flynn Zahra · b Muhammad Ajmal | 10 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
| OJR Grovescaught · Flynn Zahra · Muhammad Ajmal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Flynn Zahra · b Muhammad Ajmal | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Izaz Alicaught · P Pushparajan · Muhammad Ajmal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Pushparajan · b Muhammad Ajmal | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Shahid Arshadlbw · Imran Ameer 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Imran Ameer | 18 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 81.82 |
| caught · P Pushparajan · b Imran Ameer |
| 10 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 71.43 |
| JL Kovacicrun out · P Pushparajan, Flynn Zahra · Imran Ameer 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Pushparajan, Flynn Zahra | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| DK Pallekondacaught · Mehboob Ali · Imran Ameer 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mehboob Ali · b Imran Ameer | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Shiva Maninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| AS Kumarancaught · Jaspal Singh · P Pushparajan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jaspal Singh · b P Pushparajan | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Saeed Waqar Alicaught · Imran Ameer · Jaswinder Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Ameer · b Jaswinder Singh | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Ajmal1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Mehboob Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Imran Ameer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Mohammed Qasim0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| P Pushparajan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jaswinder Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Tarun Sharma (2), 2.3) · 2-15 (OJR Groves, 4.3) · 3-17 (Izaz Ali, 5.0) · 4-20 (Taher Muhammad, 6.3) · 5-45 (Shahid Arshad, 11.3) · 6-46 (JL Kovacic, 11.5) · 7-53 (Waqar Khan, 13.4) · 8-55 (DK Pallekonda, 14.0) · 9-64 (AS Kumaran, 15.2) · 10-68 (Saeed Waqar Ali, 17.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 17/3 |
| 6 | 3 | 20/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 21/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 25/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 30/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 37/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 44/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 46/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 51/6 |
| 14 | 4 | 55/8 |
| 15 | 8 | 63/8 |
| 16 | 2 | 65/9 |
| 17 | 3 | 68/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.