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Pakistan Women tour of South Africa · 2025/26 · Women
10 Feb 2026 · T20
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 28%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 9% to 67% during the match (South Africa: 33% to 92%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gull Ferozabowled · K Reyneke 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Reyneke | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 130.00 |
| Muneeba Alibowled · Nonkululeko Mlaba 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Ayesha Zafarcaught · Annerie Dercksen · Ayanda Hlubi 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Annerie Dercksen · b Ayanda Hlubi | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Sidra Ameenlbw · Ayanda Hlubi 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ayanda Hlubi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Natalia Pervaizcaught · Laura Wolvaardt · K Reyneke 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laura Wolvaardt · b K Reyneke | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 117.65 |
| bowled · b Ayanda Hlubi |
| 13 |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 65.00 |
| Aliya Riazlbw · Nonkululeko Mlaba 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nonkululeko Mlaba | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Fatima Sanabowled · Ayabonga Khaka 9 fours · 7 sixes | bowled · b Ayabonga Khaka | 90 | 41 | 9 | 7 | 219.51 |
|---|
| Nashra Sandhurun out · Sinalo Jafta · Nonkululeko Mlaba 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sinalo Jafta | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Humna Bilalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suné Luus0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ayabonga Khaka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 12.25 | 0 | 0 |
| K Reyneke1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Ayanda Hlubi0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 3 | 13.67 | 1 | 1 |
 Nonkululeko Mlaba0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Annerie Dercksen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (Gull Feroza, 2.3) · 2-25 (Ayesha Zafar, 3.3) · 3-25 (Sidra Ameen, 3.4) · 4-47 (Natalia Pervaiz, 6.5) · 5-64 (Muneeba Ali, 9.2) · 6-64 (Aliya Riaz, 9.4) · 7-138 (Umm-e-Hani, 16.4) · 8-155 (Nashra Sandhu, 18.4) · 9-180 (Fatima Sana, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 28/3 |
| 5 | 9 | 37/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 46/3 |
| 7 | 1 | 47/4 |
| 8 | 12 | 59/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 63/4 |
| 10 | 1 | 64/6 |
| 11 | 11 | 75/6 |
| 12 | 4 | 79/6 |
| 13 | 13 | 92/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 99/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 103/6 |
| 16 | 19 | 122/6 |
| 17 | 21 | 143/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 150/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 161/8 |
| 20 | 19 | 180/9 |
Ayabonga Khaka: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Laura Wolvaardt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nonkululeko Mlaba: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dane van Niekerk: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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