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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia & EAP Qualifier · 2025/26 · Men
12 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 59%; Oman batted first.
Oman's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Qatar: 0% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AR Odedaracaught · Shahzaib Jamil · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shahzaib Jamil · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jatinder Singhcaught · Daniel Louis · Mirza Mohammed Baig 7 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Daniel Louis · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 66 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 165.00 |
| Nadeem Khan (2)caught · Mujeeb Ur Rehman · Muhammad Asim 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mujeeb Ur Rehman · b Muhammad Asim | 12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Hammad Mirzarun out · Imal Liyanage, Owais Ahmed · Owais Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Imal Liyanage, Owais Ahmed | 6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| AR Bishtbowled · Mirza Mohammed Baig 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 34 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 141.67 |
| Vinayak Shuklanot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 15 | 3 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Shah Faisalcaught · Zubair Ali · Mirza Mohammed Baig 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zubair Ali · b Mirza Mohammed Baig | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Jiten Ramanandinot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 11* | 6 | 0 | 1 | 183.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirza Mohammed Baig0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 7.00 | 7 | 0 |
| Ikramullah Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Muhammad Asim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mujeeb Ur Rehman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Owais Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Louis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Shariq Munir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (AR Odedara, 1.0) · 2-37 (Nadeem Khan (2), 5.1) · 3-53 (Hammad Mirza, 9.1) · 4-108 (Jatinder Singh, 14.5) · 5-153 (AR Bisht, 18.2) · 6-153 (Shah Faisal, 18.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 39/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 42/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 53/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 72/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 78/3 |
| 13 | 18 | 96/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 104/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 110/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 117/4 |
| 17 | 19 | 136/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 147/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 161/6 |
| 20 | 11 | 172/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.