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Finland tour of Cyprus · 2026 · Men
9 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Finland started on 35%; Finland batted first.
Finland's chances ranged from 25% to 100% during the match (Cyprus: 0% to 75%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaif Jamadarcaught · Karan Singh · Lovedeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karan Singh · b Lovedeep Singh | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| PUKK Arachchigecaught · AA Senn · Adam Senn 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · AA Senn · b Adam Senn | 24 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 92.31 |
| Faraaz Mehti Abbasbowled · Adam Senn 5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Adam Senn | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 138.10 |
| Jordan O'Briencaught · AA Senn · Taranjit Singh 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · AA Senn · b Taranjit Singh | 22 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 122.22 |
| A Pusthaycaught · A Shahi · S Alavala 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Shahi · b S Alavala | 14 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 107.69 |
| caught · A Shahi · b S Alavala |
| 44 |
| 25 |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 176.00 |
| MB Tamberun out · Taranjit Singh · Taranjit Singh 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Taranjit Singh | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Hammadullah Shinwarinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 12 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovedeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Karan Singh0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Adam Senn0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| A Shahi0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 7 | 1 |
| S Alavala0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Taranjit Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Kaif Jamadar, 0.4) · 2-54 (Faraaz Mehti Abbas, 6.5) · 3-77 (PUKK Arachchige, 10.2) · 4-94 (Jordan O'Brien, 12.1) · 5-147 (A Pusthay, 17.3) · 6-148 (NM Salonen, 17.5) · 7-167 (MB Tambe, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 69/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 77/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 85/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 94/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 104/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 116/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 125/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 137/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 144/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 149/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 156/6 |
| 20 | 11 | 167/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.