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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Asia Qualifier B · 2024/25 · Men
19 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 78%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 77% to 100% during the match (Bhutan: 0% to 23%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafucaught · J Singye · T Wangchuk3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · J Singye · b T Wangchuk | 50 | 42 | 3 | 3 | 119.05 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught and bowled · Ranjung Mikyo Dorji 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught and bowled · b Ranjung Mikyo Dorji | 46 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 191.67 |
| Asif Khancaught · Tshering Tashi · Sonam Yeshey 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tshering Tashi · b Sonam Yeshey | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Tenjin Rabgey · J Singye 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tenjin Rabgey · b J Singye | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| D Parasharrun out · Tenjin Rabgey · Namgay Thinley0 fours · 0 sixes |
| run out · Tenjin Rabgey |
| 10 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 76.92 |
| Ali Naseernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Syed Haidercaught · Thinley Jamtsho · T Wangchuk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thinley Jamtsho · b T Wangchuk | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Zuhaib Zubairnot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 26* | 9 | 2 | 2 | 288.89 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Wangchuk0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 4.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Karma Dorji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Sonam Yeshey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| J Singye0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 15.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Namgay Thinley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Ranjung Mikyo Dorji0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-61 (Waseem Muhammad, 6.1) · 2-82 (Asif Khan, 9.3) · 3-96 (Rahul Chopra, 11.0) · 4-120 (D Parashar, 14.5) · 5-129 (Alishan Sharafu, 16.2) · 6-139 (Syed Haider, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 42/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 48/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 73/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 81/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 96/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 109/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 120/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 128/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 131/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 137/5 |
| 19 | 7 | 144/6 |
| 20 | 22 | 166/6 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
