Rajasthan RoyalsversusSunrisers Hyderabad

27 May 2026 · T20

Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajasthan Royals won by 47 runs

Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs243/8 Sunrisers Hyderabad19.2 overs196/10 Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, New Chandigarh ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajasthan Royals started on 43%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.

Rajasthan Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Sunrisers Hyderabad is the rest

Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Sunrisers Hyderabad: 0% to 59%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 0.2: JC Archer to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Rajasthan Royals up from 83% to 90%.
2nd inns 2.5: JC Archer to Ishan Kishan, Ishan Kishan out. Rajasthan Royals up from 72% to 83%.
2nd inns 3.3: N Burger to R Smaran, R Smaran out. Rajasthan Royals up from 84% to 91%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Rajasthan Royals243/8 Sunrisers Hyderabad196/10

Innings 1