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Viking Cup · 2025 · Men
9 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
France started on 12%; France batted first.
France's chances ranged from 0% to 44% during the match (Austria: 56% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mukhtar Ghulamicaught · J Ghelzai · Umair Tariq 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · J Ghelzai · b Umair Tariq | 30 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 157.89 |
| Mustafa Omercaught · Imran Asif · Umair Tariq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Imran Asif · b Umair Tariq | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| L Smithcaught · Hamid Safi · Umair Tariq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hamid Safi · b Umair Tariq | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27.27 |
| C Robertscaught · Baseer Khan · Aqib Iqbal 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Baseer Khan · b Aqib Iqbal | 39 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 102.63 |
| L Canessanerun out · Baseer Khan · Ziaurahman Shinwari 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Baseer Khan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
| not out |
| 65* |
| 41 |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 158.54 |
| Noman Amjadcaught · Karanbir Singh · Zeshan Arif 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karanbir Singh · b Zeshan Arif | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Rahmatullah Mangalnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 7* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 350.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Umair Tariq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ziaurahman Shinwari0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 6 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Zeshan Arif0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-30 (Mustafa Omer, 3.1) · 2-41 (L Smith, 5.3) · 3-42 (Mukhtar Ghulami, 5.5) · 4-48 (L Canessane, 6.3) · 5-134 (C Roberts, 18.1) · 6-149 (Noman Amjad, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 44/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 53/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 62/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 66/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 75/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 89/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 97/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 103/4 |
| 15 | 10 | 113/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 120/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 128/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 134/4 |
| 19 | 11 | 145/5 |
| 20 | 17 | 162/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.