Lahore QalandarsversusKarachi Kings

15 Apr 2025 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lahore Qalandars won by 65 runs

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs201/6 Karachi Kings19.1 overs136/10 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 43%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Karachi Kings is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 27% to 100% during the match (Karachi Kings: 0% to 73%).

Biggest swings

1.3: Hasan Ali to Muhammad Naeem, Muhammad Naeem out. Karachi Kings up from 50% to 63%.
3.5: Hasan Ali to Abdullah Shafique, Abdullah Shafique out. Karachi Kings up from 62% to 72%.
2nd inns 0.2: Shaheen Shah Afridi to DA Warner, DA Warner out. Lahore Qalandars up from 64% to 76%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars201/6 Karachi Kings136/10

Innings 1