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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier · 2024/25 · Men
7 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Bermuda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bermuda started on 89%; Bermuda batted first.
Bermuda's chances ranged from 86% to 100% during the match (Suriname: 0% to 14%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terryn Fraybowled · Arun Gokoel 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Arun Gokoel | 20 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 95.24 |
| D Sabircaught · Arun Gokoel · Troy Dudnath 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arun Gokoel · b Troy Dudnath | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 266.67 |
| Tre Manderscaught · Gavin Singh · XSD Smith 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Gavin Singh · b XSD Smith | 44 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Onais Bascomelbw · XSD Smith 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b XSD Smith | 15 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 166.67 |
| Dion Stovellstumped · V Hirlal · Gavin Singh 1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · V Hirlal · b Gavin Singh | 37 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 112.12 |
| bowled · b K Jaikaran |
| 12 |
| 11 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 109.09 |
| Derrick Brangmanbowled · Gavin Singh 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gavin Singh | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Zeko Burgessnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sinclair Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Dudnath0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Gavin Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| YP Dayal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Arun Gokoel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.1 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.40 | 0 | 0 |
| XSD Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| K Jaikaran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (D Sabir, 0.4) · 2-71 (Tre Manders, 8.5) · 3-81 (Terryn Fray, 10.0) · 4-101 (Onais Bascome, 12.3) · 5-124 (Jonte Smith, 16.1) · 6-159 (Dion Stovell, 19.3) · 7-160 (Derrick Brangman, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 18/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 44/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 65/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 72/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 81/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 91/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 100/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 101/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 110/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 115/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 124/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 129/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 143/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 153/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 161/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.