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Women's T20I Quadrangular Series (in Denmark) · 2024 · Women
15 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 60%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Luxembourg: 0% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Goradbowled · Jagrat Dubey 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jagrat Dubey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nayab Razwancaught · GEM Brealey · Kerry Fraser 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · GEM Brealey · b Kerry Fraser | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Nayab Alizairun out · SH Lawlor · Khusboo Kandpal 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · SH Lawlor | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| R Immadicaught · Kerry Fraser · SH Lawlor 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kerry Fraser · b SH Lawlor | 29 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 85.29 |
| Alina Aslambowled · Jagrat Dubey 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jagrat Dubey | 23 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 88.46 |
| Mahnoor Akram |
| run out · Kerry Fraser |
| 8 |
| 12 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Mirab Razwancaught · GEM Brealey · Aarti Priya 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · GEM Brealey · b Aarti Priya | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| VB Viyalabowled · Aarti Priya 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aarti Priya | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| P Agrawalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 32 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagrat Dubey2 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 2.75 | 4 | 0 |
| Aarti Priya0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Khusboo Kandpal0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 7 | 0 |
| Kerry Fraser1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 4 | 0 |
| GEM Brealey0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 8 | 0 |
| SH Lawlor0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-0 (AS Gorad, 0.1) · 2-16 (Nayab Razwan, 5.4) · 3-21 (Nayab Alizai, 6.4) · 4-74 (Alina Aslam, 14.2) · 5-107 (R Immadi, 18.0) · 6-107 (Mahnoor Akram, 18.1) · 7-113 (Mirab Razwan, 19.2) · 8-116 (VB Viyala, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 16/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 22/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 26/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 31/3 |
| 10 | 11 | 42/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 50/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 57/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 64/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 72/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 79/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 85/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 95/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 107/5 |
| 19 | 4 | 111/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 116/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.