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Bangladesh tour of Sri Lanka · 2025 · Men
25 Jun 2025 · Test
Sinhalese Sports Club Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadman Islamcaught · Dhananjaya de Silva · Tharindu Ratnayake 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhananjaya de Silva · b Tharindu Ratnayake | 46 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 49.46 |
 Anamul Haquebowled · Asitha Fernando0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asitha Fernando | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Mominul Haquecaught · P Rathnayake · Dhananjaya de Silva3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Rathnayake · b Dhananjaya de Silva | 21 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 53.85 |
 Najmul Hossain Shanto |
| caught · Kusal Mendis · b Vishwa Fernando |
| 8 |
| 31 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.81 |
 Mushfiqur Rahimcaught · Vishwa Fernando · Sonal Dinusha5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vishwa Fernando · b Sonal Dinusha | 35 | 75 | 5 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
 Litton Dascaught · Kusal Mendis · Sonal Dinusha2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Sonal Dinusha | 34 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 60.71 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasancaught · Kamindu Mendis · Vishwa Fernando3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamindu Mendis · b Vishwa Fernando | 31 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 73.81 |
|---|
 Nayeem Hasanbowled · Asitha Fernando2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asitha Fernando | 25 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 49.02 |
|---|
 Taijul Islamcaught · Dinesh Chandimal · Sonal Dinusha5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dinesh Chandimal · b Sonal Dinusha | 33 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 55.00 |
|---|
| Ebadat Hossainlbw · Asitha Fernando 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Asitha Fernando | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 61.54 |
|---|
 Nahid Rananot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 2 | 51 | 3 | 2.83 | 0 | 0 |
 Vishwa Fernando4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 4 | 45 | 2 | 2.37 | 0 | 0 |
| Tharindu Ratnayake1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 72 | 1 | 4.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Prabath Jayasuriya0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 3.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Dhananjaya de Silva0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sonal Dinusha3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.3 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 2.32 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Anamul Haque, 4.2) · 2-43 (Mominul Haque, 16.1) · 3-74 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 28.0) · 4-76 (Shadman Islam, 29.0) · 5-143 (Litton Das, 47.5) · 6-160 (Mushfiqur Rahim, 54.0) · 7-197 (Mehedi Hasan, 63.2) · 8-214 (Nayeem Hasan, 69.5) · 9-229 (Ebadat Hossain, 74.3) · 10-247 (Taijul Islam, 79.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 5/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 5/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 6/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 6/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 19/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 23/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 28/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 15 | 8 | 38/1 |
| 16 | 5 | 43/1 |
| 17 | 2 | 45/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 46/2 |
| 19 | 1 | 47/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 48/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 50/2 |
| 22 | 5 | 55/2 |
| 23 | 8 | 63/2 |
| 24 | 2 | 65/2 |
| 25 | 0 | 65/2 |
| 26 | 6 | 71/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 73/2 |
| 28 | 1 | 74/3 |
| 29 | 2 | 76/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 78/4 |
| 31 | 6 | 84/4 |
| 32 | 4 | 88/4 |
| 33 | 2 | 90/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 92/4 |
| 35 | 6 | 98/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 104/4 |
| 37 | 10 | 114/4 |
| 38 | 2 | 116/4 |
| 39 | 5 | 121/4 |
| 40 | 2 | 123/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 124/4 |
| 42 | 4 | 128/4 |
| 43 | 1 | 129/4 |
| 44 | 3 | 132/4 |
| 45 | 3 | 135/4 |
| 46 | 1 | 136/4 |
| 47 | 7 | 143/4 |
| 48 | 0 | 143/5 |
| 49 | 1 | 144/5 |
| 50 | 0 | 144/5 |
| 51 | 2 | 146/5 |
| 52 | 6 | 152/5 |
| 53 | 7 | 159/5 |
| 54 | 1 | 160/6 |
| 55 | 7 | 167/6 |
| 56 | 3 | 170/6 |
| 57 | 3 | 173/6 |
| 58 | 2 | 175/6 |
| 59 | 7 | 182/6 |
| 60 | 6 | 188/6 |
| 61 | 1 | 189/6 |
| 62 | 6 | 195/6 |
| 63 | 1 | 196/6 |
| 64 | 3 | 199/7 |
| 65 | 1 | 200/7 |
| 66 | 1 | 201/7 |
| 67 | 4 | 205/7 |
| 68 | 2 | 207/7 |
| 69 | 2 | 209/7 |
| 70 | 5 | 214/8 |
| 71 | 6 | 220/8 |
| 72 | 5 | 225/8 |
| 73 | 2 | 227/8 |
| 74 | 0 | 227/8 |
| 75 | 2 | 229/9 |
| 76 | 5 | 234/9 |
| 77 | 1 | 235/9 |
| 78 | 9 | 244/9 |
| 79 | 3 | 247/9 |
| 80 | 0 | 247/10 |
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Vishwa Fernando: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Dinesh Chandimal: Amal316 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Anamul Haque: Pro-Vc AIUB · CC BY 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nayeem Hasan: IqbalHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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