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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Estonia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 44%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 23% to 96% during the match (Estonia: 4% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Ravindrancaught · A Paul · Ashraful Shuvo 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · A Paul · b Ashraful Shuvo | 46 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 143.75 |
| Zahir Mohammedbowled · Zeeshan Ali (3) 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Zeeshan Ali (3) | 24 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 184.62 |
| Muhammad Sobanrun out · Habib Khan, S Gooch · Zeeshan Ali (3) 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Habib Khan, S Gooch | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| M Bhaijirun out · Sahil Chauhan, H Pattenden · H Pattenden 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Sahil Chauhan, H Pattenden | 11 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 91.67 |
| Kasir Ahmedcaught · H Pattenden · H Aggarwal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Pattenden · b H Aggarwal | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 81.82 |
| caught · S Gooch · b A Paul |
| 8 |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 53.33 |
| Ali Nawazcaught · Arslan Amjad · A Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Arslan Amjad · b A Paul | 17 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 73.91 |
|---|
| Amal Jacobcaught · Zeeshan Ali (3) · H Aggarwal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zeeshan Ali (3) · b H Aggarwal | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| SA Mohandasrun out · S Gooch, H Aggarwal · Habib Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Gooch, H Aggarwal | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Z Marosynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Saqlainrun out · S Gooch · A Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Gooch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Pattenden0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Ashraful Shuvo0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Habib Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Ali (3)0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 1 | 1 |
| H Aggarwal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| A Paul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.91 | 0 | 0 |
1-68 (Zahir Mohammed, 5.3) · 2-68 (Muhammad Soban, 5.5) · 3-87 (M Bhaiji, 9.0) · 4-90 (V Ravindran, 10.0) · 5-101 (Kasir Ahmed, 12.4) · 6-115 (Kamran Wahid, 16.0) · 7-118 (Amal Jacob, 17.0) · 8-129 (SA Mohandas, 19.0) · 9-129 (Ali Nawaz, 19.1) · 10-132 (Muhammad Saqlain, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 38/0 |
| 5 | 18 | 56/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 69/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 71/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 78/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 87/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 90/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 93/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 97/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 101/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 106/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 110/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 115/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 118/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 123/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 129/8 |
| 20 | 3 | 132/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.