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Continental Cup · 2025 · Men
27 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hungary started on 30%; Hungary batted first.
Hungary's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Austria: 31% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Ghanicaught · Umair Tariq · Karanbir Singh 7 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Umair Tariq · b Karanbir Singh | 52 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 167.74 |
| V Ravindranlbw · Karanbir Singh 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Karanbir Singh | 22 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 91.67 |
| Zeeshan Kukikhelcaught · MPS Cheema · Karanbir Singh 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · MPS Cheema · b Karanbir Singh | 43 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 215.00 |
| MP Ainsworthbowled · Sahel Zadran 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sahel Zadran | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Muhammad Usman (3)run out · Bilal Zalmai · H Khogiyani 3 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Bilal Zalmai | 38 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 165.22 |
| caught · Aqib Iqbal · b Karanbir Singh |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ali Farasatnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Ali Nawaznot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waqar Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Umair Tariq0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Aqib Iqbal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sahel Zadran0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Bilal Zalmai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Karanbir Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 4 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| H Khogiyani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-78 (Abbas Ghani, 8.2) · 2-95 (V Ravindran, 10.1) · 3-118 (MP Ainsworth, 13.2) · 4-151 (Zeeshan Kukikhel, 16.3) · 5-151 (Zahir Mohammed, 16.4) · 6-179 (Muhammad Usman (3), 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 21 | 45/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 60/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 70/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 76/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 78/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 83/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 95/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 101/2 |
| 12 | 14 | 115/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 118/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 126/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 132/3 |
| 16 | 9 | 141/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 152/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 156/5 |
| 19 | 20 | 176/5 |
| 20 | 10 | 186/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.