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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 45%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Leicestershire: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Mohammedcaught · Ashton Turner · Josh Davey 6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Josh Davey | 42 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 161.54 |
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Nick Kelly · Ben Green 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Kelly · b Ben Green | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 187.50 |
 Kashif Alicaught · Ben Cox · Ben Mike4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Cox · b Ben Mike | 28 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 140.00 |
 Adam Hosecaught · Liam Trevaskis · Ashton Turner1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Trevaskis · b Ashton Turner | 19 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 146.15 |
| caught · Sol Budinger · b Josh Davey |
| 18 |
| 11 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 163.64 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Ashton Turner · Josh Davey3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Josh Davey | 25 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Gareth Rodericklbw · Josh Hull1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Josh Hull | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 220.00 |
|---|
 Matthew Waiterun out · Ben Cox · Ben Mike0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben Cox | 8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Usama Mircaught · Josh Davey · Ben Green 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Davey · b Ben Green | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Tom Taylornot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
 Adam Finchnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hull0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 13.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Josh Davey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Mike0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Ben Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Trevaskis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Ashton Turner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-43 (Brett D'Oliveira, 3.5) · 2-60 (Isaac Mohammed, 6.0) · 3-100 (Kashif Ali, 10.5) · 4-110 (Adam Hose, 11.2) · 5-150 (Ethan Brookes, 15.1) · 6-151 (Sikandar Raza, 15.4) · 7-164 (Gareth Roderick, 16.5) · 8-173 (Usama Mir, 17.4) · 9-185 (Matthew Waite, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 17 | 30/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 37/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 43/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 54/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 60/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 72/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 82/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 15 | 104/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 118/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 125/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 134/4 |
| 15 | 16 | 150/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 152/6 |
| 17 | 18 | 170/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 175/8 |
| 19 | 7 | 182/8 |
| 20 | 6 | 188/9 |
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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