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ECA Men's European Cup · 2026 · Men
25 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Austria more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Austria started on 83%; Austria batted first.
Austria's chances ranged from 75% to 100% during the match (Turkey: 0% to 25%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karanbir Singhbowled · Serdar Burak Emir 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Serdar Burak Emir | 18 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Zeshan Ariflbw · Furkan Tuskan 4 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Furkan Tuskan | 30 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 214.29 |
| Bilal Zalmailbw · Serdar Burak Emir 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Serdar Burak Emir | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Shadnan Khancaught · Ibrahim Kursad Dalyan · Muhammad Fahad 3 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Ibrahim Kursad Dalyan · b Muhammad Fahad | 80 | 43 | 3 | 7 | 186.05 |
| Aqib Iqbalbowled · G Tuskan 4 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b G Tuskan | 63 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 146.51 |
| not out |
| 1* |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Irfan Safibowled · Muhammad Fahad 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Fahad | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Waqar Zalmaibowled · Muhammad Fahad 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Fahad | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Kursad Dalyan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Furkan Tuskan0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 9 | 0 |
| Serdar Burak Emir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 12.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Murat Yilmaz0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 17.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Fahad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Mustafa Atmaca0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| G Tuskan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-26 (Karanbir Singh, 2.3) · 2-26 (Bilal Zalmai, 2.4) · 3-55 (Zeshan Arif, 5.3) · 4-206 (Aqib Iqbal, 18.2) · 5-210 (Shadnan Khan, 19.1) · 6-215 (Irfan Safi, 19.4) · 7-221 (Waqar Zalmai, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 28/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 20 | 53/2 |
| 6 | 18 | 71/3 |
| 7 | 11 | 82/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 86/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 94/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 109/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 115/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 127/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 138/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 145/3 |
| 15 | 11 | 156/3 |
| 16 | 17 | 173/3 |
| 17 | 24 | 197/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 202/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 210/4 |
| 20 | 11 | 221/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.