Quetta GladiatorsversusRawalpindiz

10 Apr 2026 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Quetta Gladiators won by 61 runs

Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs182/6 Rawalpindiz17.3 overs121/10 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Quetta Gladiators started on 56%; Quetta Gladiators batted first.

Quetta Gladiators’s chance of winning (%) · Rawalpindiz is the rest

Quetta Gladiators's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Rawalpindiz: 0% to 53%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 0.1: Jahandad Khan to Mohammad Rizwan, Mohammad Rizwan out. Quetta Gladiators up from 59% to 73%.
2nd inns 2.5: Abrar Ahmed to UT Khawaja, UT Khawaja out. Quetta Gladiators up from 57% to 71%.
2nd inns 5.3: Abrar Ahmed to Yasir Khan, Yasir Khan out. Quetta Gladiators up from 66% to 79%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Quetta Gladiators182/6 Rawalpindiz121/10

Innings 1