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Photo: Gihan Jayaweera
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
England tour of Sri Lanka · 2025/26 · Men
30 Jan 2026 · T20
Pallekele International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pathum Nissankacaught · Jos Buttler · Adil Rashid 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jos Buttler · b Adil Rashid | 23 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 115.00 |
| Kamil Misharacaught · Liam Dawson · Jamie Overton 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Dawson · b Jamie Overton | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 177.78 |
| Kusal Mendiscaught · Jamie Overton · Adil Rashid 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Adil Rashid | 37 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 185.00 |
| Charith Asalankacaught · Jacob Bethell · Liam Dawson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Bethell · b Liam Dawson | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Dhananjaya de Silvacaught · Sam Curran · Adil Rashid 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Curran · b Adil Rashid | 11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 91.67 |
 Janith Liyanagelbw · Liam Dawson0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Liam Dawson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Dasun Shanakacaught · Harry Brook · Sam Curran 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Sam Curran | 20 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 125.00 |
|---|
 Wanindu Hasarangabowled · Jamie Overton2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jamie Overton | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| Mahesh Theekshanacaught · Jamie Overton · Sam Curran 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b Sam Curran | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Matheesha Pathiranabowled · Sam Curran 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sam Curran | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Eshan Malinganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Curran0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 12.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Jofra Archer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 7.29 | 1 | 0 |
| Liam Dawson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Adil Rashid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-24 (Kamil Mishara, 2.3) · 2-76 (Pathum Nissanka, 7.1) · 3-79 (Charith Asalanka, 8.1) · 4-89 (Kusal Mendis, 9.4) · 5-98 (Janith Liyanage, 10.4) · 6-98 (Dhananjaya de Silva, 11.4) · 7-129 (Dasun Shanaka, 15.4) · 8-129 (Mahesh Theekshana, 15.5) · 9-129 (Matheesha Pathirana, 16.0) · 10-133 (Wanindu Hasaranga, 16.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 36/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 50/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 55/1 |
| 7 | 20 | 75/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 79/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 83/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 91/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 98/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 100/6 |
| 13 | 10 | 110/6 |
| 14 | 6 | 116/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 125/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 129/9 |
| 17 | 4 | 133/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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