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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
27 Jul 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 47%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael van Lingenbowled · Sompal Kami 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sompal Kami | 5 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 31.25 |
 Malan Krugercaught · Aarif Sheikh · Karan KC1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aarif Sheikh · b Karan KC | 15 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 68.18 |
| Jan Frylinckrun out · Rohit Kumar · Rohit Kumar 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Rohit Kumar | 100 | 149 | 3 | 0 | 67.11 |
| Louren Steenkampcaught · Kushal Bhurtel · Karan KC 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kushal Bhurtel · b Karan KC | 59 | 87 | 4 | 1 | 67.82 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Sandeep Lamichhane · Karan KC 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sandeep Lamichhane |
Namibia's chances ranged from 13% to 92% during the match (Nepal: 8% to 87%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 3 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 42.86 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 14 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| JJ Smitcaught · Kushal Bhurtel · Karan KC 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kushal Bhurtel · b Karan KC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Zane Greencaught · Gulsan Jha · Karan KC 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gulsan Jha · b Karan KC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Karan KC2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 2 | 29 | 5 | 2.90 | 1 | 0 |
 Sompal Kami0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 5.86 | 6 | 0 |
 Dipendra Singh Airee0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 3.60 | 1 | 0 |
 Sandeep Lamichhane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Rohit Kumar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 3.90 | 0 | 0 |
 Gulsan Jha0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Aarif Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Michael van Lingen, 4.0) · 2-37 (Malan Kruger, 11.1) · 3-168 (Louren Steenkamp, 41.3) · 4-176 (Gerhard Erasmus, 43.5) · 5-201 (Jan Frylinck, 49.0) · 6-205 (JJ Smit, 49.3) · 7-211 (Zane Green, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 19/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 20/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 30/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 32/1 |
| 10 | 0 | 32/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 37/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 37/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 40/2 |
| 14 | 8 | 48/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 51/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 55/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 58/2 |
| 18 | 3 | 61/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 63/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 66/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 68/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 70/2 |
| 23 | 2 | 72/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 75/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 78/2 |
| 26 | 3 | 81/2 |
| 27 | 6 | 87/2 |
| 28 | 10 | 97/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 101/2 |
| 30 | 1 | 102/2 |
| 31 | 3 | 105/2 |
| 32 | 5 | 110/2 |
| 33 | 6 | 116/2 |
| 34 | 10 | 126/2 |
| 35 | 5 | 131/2 |
| 36 | 7 | 138/2 |
| 37 | 2 | 140/2 |
| 38 | 4 | 144/2 |
| 39 | 9 | 153/2 |
| 40 | 10 | 163/2 |
| 41 | 4 | 167/2 |
| 42 | 1 | 168/3 |
| 43 | 5 | 173/3 |
| 44 | 3 | 176/4 |
| 45 | 5 | 181/4 |
| 46 | 5 | 186/4 |
| 47 | 4 | 190/4 |
| 48 | 5 | 195/4 |
| 49 | 6 | 201/5 |
| 50 | 10 | 211/7 |
Gulsan Jha: Elison Pokhrel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sompal Kami: सरोज कुमार ढकाल · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sandeep Lamichhane: Deshsanchar · CC BY 3.0
Rohit Kumar: Cricnepal · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kushal Bhurtel: Kushal Bhurtel · CC BY-SA 4.0
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karan KC: Helloworld3377 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dipendra Singh Airee: Dipendra Singh Airee · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aarif Sheikh: Nepalese Diaspora · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
