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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B · 2026 · Men
8 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Denmark more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 72%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 72% to 100% during the match (Estonia: 0% to 28%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musa Shaheencaught · Habib Khan · H Aggarwal 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Habib Khan · b H Aggarwal | 43 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 138.71 |
| Hamid Shahcaught and bowled · Zeeshan Ali (3) 9 fours · 3 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zeeshan Ali (3) | 77 | 48 | 9 | 3 | 160.42 |
| Sebastian Heathcaught · Arslan Amjad · Habib Khan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Arslan Amjad · b Habib Khan | 20 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Saif Ahmadcaught · H Pattenden · Zeeshan Ali (3) 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · H Pattenden · b Zeeshan Ali (3) | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Shangeev Thanikaithasancaught · R Aggarwal · Zeeshan Ali (3) 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Aggarwal · b Zeeshan Ali (3) | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Abdullah Mahmoodcaught · R Aggarwal · Habib Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Aggarwal · b Habib Khan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Lucky Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Surya Anandnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Pattenden0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ashraful Shuvo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Habib Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 2 | 0 |
| H Aggarwal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| R Aggarwal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Zeeshan Ali (3)0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 6.67 | 0 | 1 |
1-93 (Musa Shaheen, 10.4) · 2-132 (Hamid Shah, 14.1) · 3-155 (Saif Ahmad, 16.4) · 4-157 (Sebastian Heath, 17.1) · 5-167 (Shangeev Thanikaithasan, 18.3) · 6-175 (Abdullah Mahmood, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 19 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 17 | 53/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 68/0 |
| 8 | 3 | 71/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 80/0 |
| 10 | 11 | 91/0 |
| 11 | 7 | 98/1 |
| 12 | 6 | 104/1 |
| 13 | 20 | 124/1 |
| 14 | 8 | 132/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 139/2 |
| 16 | 13 | 152/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 157/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 162/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 171/5 |
| 20 | 9 | 180/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.