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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
20 Jun 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 55%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 52% to 100% during the match (Yorkshire: 0% to 48%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Graham Clarkcaught · James Wharton · William O’Rourke4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · James Wharton · b William O’Rourke | 53 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 151.43 |
 Alex Leescaught · Jonny Bairstow · William O’Rourke6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jonny Bairstow · b William O’Rourke | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 166.67 |
| BS McKinneycaught · Jonny Bairstow · JA Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jonny Bairstow · b JA Chohan | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
 Colin Ackermanncaught · Dawid Malan · William O’Rourke1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Dawid Malan · b William O’Rourke |
| 28 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 147.37 |
| James Neeshamnot out 5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 42* | 21 | 5 | 2 | 200.00 |
|---|
 Ollie Robinsonnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 16* | 13 | 2 | 0 | 123.08 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 4 | 0 |
 Dan Moriarty0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 3 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Dominic Bess0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Jordan Thompson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-56 (Alex Lees, 5.4) · 2-70 (BS McKinney, 8.0) · 3-132 (Colin Ackermann, 14.1) · 4-133 (Graham Clark, 14.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 17 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 40/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 50/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 70/2 |
| 9 | 12 | 82/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 87/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 99/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 107/2 |
| 13 | 15 | 122/2 |
| 14 | 10 | 132/2 |
| 15 | 3 | 135/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 147/4 |
| 17 | 16 | 163/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 174/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 186/4 |
| 20 | 7 | 193/4 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Rhodes: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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