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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
1 Jul 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 43%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Warwickshire: 53% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Gillgrasscaught · Emily Arlott · Amuruthaa Surenkumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emily Arlott · b Amuruthaa Surenkumar | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Alice Macleodlbw · Emily Arlott 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Emily Arlott | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Anne Boschcaught · Abigail Freeborn · Amuruthaa Surenkumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abigail Freeborn · b Amuruthaa Surenkumar | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Michaela Kirkbowled · Amuruthaa Surenkumar 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Amuruthaa Surenkumar | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 90.00 |
| Jo Gardnerlbw · Georgia Davis 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Georgia Davis | 33 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 103.13 |
| caught · Georgia Redmayne · b Georgia Davis |
| 23 |
| 24 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 95.83 |
| Sophie Munronot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 22* | 18 | 2 | 1 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Ariana Dowsecaught · Mary Taylor · Millie Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mary Taylor · b Millie Taylor | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Eva Grayrun out · Amuruthaa Surenkumar, Nat Wraith · Mary Taylor 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Amuruthaa Surenkumar, Nat Wraith | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Kate Coppacknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Taylor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Emily Arlott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Amuruthaa Surenkumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Hannah Baker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Millie Taylor0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgia Davis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Alice Macleod, 1.1) · 2-11 (B Gillgrass, 2.3) · 3-26 (Michaela Kirk, 5.1) · 4-27 (Anne Bosch, 5.5) · 5-83 (Jo Gardner, 14.3) · 6-84 (Liberty Heap, 14.5) · 7-87 (Ariana Dowse, 15.4) · 8-108 (Eva Gray, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 26/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 31/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 35/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 39/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 42/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 45/4 |
| 11 | 8 | 53/4 |
| 12 | 7 | 60/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 65/4 |
| 14 | 13 | 78/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 85/6 |
| 16 | 2 | 87/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 91/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 97/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 108/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 116/8 |
Nat Wraith: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Redmayne: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.