Chennai Super KingsversusDelhi Capitals

11 Apr 2026 · T20

MA Chidambaram Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Chennai Super Kings won by 23 runs

Chennai Super Kings20.0 overs212/2 Delhi Capitals20.0 overs189/10 MA Chidambaram Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Chennai Super Kings started on 44%; Chennai Super Kings batted first.

Chennai Super Kings’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Chennai Super Kings's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 0% to 59%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.6: KK Ahmed to KL Rahul, KL Rahul out. Chennai Super Kings up from 41% to 55%.
2nd inns 12.2: J Overton to DA Miller, DA Miller out. Chennai Super Kings up from 76% to 90%.
2nd inns 14.5: Noor Ahmad to Ashutosh Sharma, Ashutosh Sharma out. Chennai Super Kings up from 74% to 89%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Chennai Super Kings212/2 Delhi Capitals189/10

Innings 1